Ukrainian drone strike kills eight at Russian tourist bases in Zaporozhye. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at ...

The U.S. action against the tanker appears to indicate a firm stance on enforcing the naval blockade, consistent with ...

Tankers continue to pass through the Red Sea despite the Houthi blockade. Closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by September 30 ...

Tanker incident reported in Gulf of Oman. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30 at 22% YES.

Russian artillery strike in Kherson kills 1 and injures 2. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 15% YES.

Israeli forces conducted widespread raids in Jenin, detaining 50 Palestinians. Houthi military action against Israel by July ...

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Greek defense system intercepts Yemen missiles targeting Saudi refineries. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, ...

Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz cuts oil trade with China. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 12.5% YES.

BlackRock clients sold $212M in Bitcoin amid ETF outflows. Bitcoin reaching $82,500 in July at 0.2% YES, $67,500 at 20.5% YES ...

US stocks stabilize as oil prices retreat on peace talk hopes. New all-time high for crude oil by September 30 at 9.3% YES.

Trump signals readiness for intensified strikes on Iran. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 29.5% YES.